Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.071683 0.076728 0.081975 0.087847 0.094242 0.101004 0.108708
2025-11-16 0.060084 0.067247 0.075114 0.084430 0.095200 0.107309 0.122025
2025-11-23 0.052721 0.061055 0.070603 0.082421 0.096754 0.113701 0.135437
2025-11-30 0.048558 0.057837 0.068845 0.082990 0.100864 0.122939 0.152641
2025-12-07 0.043986 0.053573 0.065269 0.080759 0.101001 0.126922 0.163237
2025-12-14 0.039758 0.049321 0.061259 0.077477 0.099277 0.128072 0.169852
2025-12-21 0.037060 0.046765 0.059144 0.076365 0.100148 0.132510 0.181091
2025-12-28 0.035558 0.045620 0.058728 0.077396 0.103875 0.141000 0.198695
2026-01-04 0.034071 0.044370 0.058045 0.077943 0.106870 0.148572 0.215526
2026-01-11 0.032354 0.042689 0.056642 0.077333 0.108081 0.153530 0.228694
2026-01-18 0.030931 0.041319 0.055567 0.077080 0.109734 0.159183 0.243375
2026-01-25 0.029256 0.039499 0.053742 0.075588 0.109365 0.161618 0.252913
2026-02-01 0.027414 0.037385 0.051431 0.073297 0.107709 0.162051 0.259413
2026-02-08 0.025969 0.035780 0.049784 0.071923 0.107408 0.164664 0.270000
2026-02-15 0.024686 0.034345 0.048309 0.070713 0.107265 0.167490 0.281208
2026-02-22 0.023990 0.033738 0.048027 0.071332 0.110112 0.175528 0.302753
2026-03-01 0.022731 0.032227 0.046294 0.069524 0.108768 0.176176 0.310318
2026-03-08 0.021336 0.030452 0.044075 0.066804 0.105689 0.173501 0.311093
2026-03-15 0.020464 0.029439 0.042991 0.065882 0.105636 0.176244 0.322914
2026-03-22 0.020061 0.029128 0.042988 0.066743 0.108746 0.185002 0.347983
2026-03-29 0.019590 0.028691 0.042759 0.067200 0.111149 0.192605 0.371484
2026-04-05 0.018941 0.027943 0.041994 0.066691 0.111749 0.196772 0.387967
2026-04-12 0.018391 0.027331 0.041422 0.066480 0.112875 0.202035 0.407490